Bet against me, I dare you

Ok, I pat myself on the back every now and then about being a good predictor of economic events. I started Imperium Renewables when oil was $40/barrel on the bet it would soon sustainably trade over $80/barrel by 2008. We are well above that. I started Loudeye Technologies when the average data connection speed to a PC was 14.4Kbps on the bet that broadband penetration would be enough by 2000 to have a music business. Broadband penetration and digital music is a much bigger business.

Unfortunately only the record of my blog is record of many of these events. This time I am making a prediction and holding myself accountable through the LongNow Foundation service LongBets. I posted a prediction up there that by 2010 passenger diesels will outsell hybrids. See the prediction here and support it, bet against me, or comment. If you bet against, the money goes to charity so it is fun!

Bet against me, I dare you.